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What is a binary option / binary contract?

Binary option / binary contract explained in plain English: a direct definition, a worked example, the formula and related terms, with sources.

Last updated: · Written and reviewed by Ken Lin

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Quick answer

Binary option / binary contract: A binary contract pays either a fixed amount or nothing, depending on whether a condition is met at expiry; the CFTC glossary calls this a binary (or digital) option.

Also called: digital option, Yes/No contract

Explained, with an example

Example: a contract pays $1 if a hurricane makes landfall before a date and $0 otherwise [1]. Because the payout is fixed, the price is directly comparable to an Implied probability: a $0.25 Yes price equals decimal odds of 4.00 before fees. The CFTC warns that many off-exchange binary-option websites have been fraudulent, so the venue's regulatory status matters [2].

Formula

payoff = 1 if the event happens, else 0
price ≈ implied probability (before fees/spread)
decimal-odds equivalent = 1 / price

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Frequently asked questions

What is a binary option / binary contract?

A binary contract pays either a fixed amount or nothing, depending on whether a condition is met at expiry; the CFTC glossary calls this a binary (or digital) option.

About this guide

Pred-Data publishes independent, source-linked explainers about prediction markets and the AI tools used around them. Every factual claim on this page links to a primary or reputable secondary source, checked on the date shown above. We do not run a trading venue, take bets, or give personal advice.

Author: Ken Lin · Corrections: if you spot an error, we review it and date-stamp the fix.

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Sources

  1. CFTC Glossary (binary option, DCM, order book, liquid market, market maker, settlement, wash trading, arbitrage, hedging) — U.S. CFTC, accessed 2 Nov 2026
  2. Fraud Advisory: Binary Options — U.S. CFTC, accessed 2 Nov 2026