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What is hedging?

Hedging explained in plain English: a direct definition, a worked example and related terms, with sources.

Last updated: · Written and reviewed by Ken Lin

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Quick answer

Hedging: Hedging is taking an offsetting position to reduce the risk of an existing one, accepting a smaller possible gain in exchange for a smaller possible loss.

Also called: hedge, laying off

Explained, with an example

The CFTC glossary describes hedging as using offsetting contracts to protect against adverse price moves [1]. In event markets the same idea applies: if you hold Yes at 0.40 and the price rises to 0.70, selling (or buying No) locks in part of the gain regardless of the result. A full hedge at better combined prices than 100% is effectively an Arbitrage.

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Frequently asked questions

What is hedging?

Hedging is taking an offsetting position to reduce the risk of an existing one, accepting a smaller possible gain in exchange for a smaller possible loss.

About this guide

Pred-Data publishes independent, source-linked explainers about prediction markets and the AI tools used around them. Every factual claim on this page links to a primary or reputable secondary source, checked on the date shown above. We do not run a trading venue, take bets, or give personal advice.

Author: Ken Lin · Corrections: if you spot an error, we review it and date-stamp the fix.

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Sources

  1. CFTC Glossary (binary option, DCM, order book, liquid market, market maker, settlement, wash trading, arbitrage, hedging) — U.S. CFTC, accessed 2 Nov 2026